Philippe Wampfler

Ein kleiner Test: Wie gut bist zu im Problemlösen?

Bildschirmfoto 2015-07-02 um 18.01.55

Ich entschuldige mich für die Umleitung – den direkten Link kann ich nicht verarbeiten.

Hier also der Verweis auf die Seite der New York Times: Der Test lohnt sich!

Damit das geht, braucht es hier noch etwas Text – den kann man auch gut überspringen.

This disappointment is a version of what psychologists and economists call confirmation bias. Not only are people more likely to believe information that fits their pre-existing beliefs, but they’re also more likely to go looking for such information. This experiment is a version of one that the English psychologist Peter Cathcart Wason used ina seminal 1960 paper on confirmation bias. (He used the even simpler 2, 4 and 6, rather than our 2, 4 and 8.)

Most of us can quickly come up with other forms of confirmation bias — and yet the examples we prefer tend to be, themselves, examples of confirmation bias. If you’re politically liberal, maybe you’re thinking of the way that many conservatives ignore strong evidence of global warming and its consequences and instead glom onto weaker contrary evidence. Liberals are less likely to recall the many incorrect predictions over the decades, often strident and often from the left, that population growth would create widespread food shortages. It hasn’t.